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7 Key Credit Scoring Trends to Watch by 2026

Explore key trends in alternative credit scoring that empower fintechs to assess unbanked populations.

Artem Lalaiants
CEO @RiskSeal
7 Alternative Credit Scoring Trends That Will Shape 2026
Table of contents

Credit scoring is evolving and changing fast.

Traditional models miss around 1.4 billion unbanked people worldwide, according to the World Bank. That’s a huge gap for lenders.

To help close it, fintechs are turning to alternative data and smarter tools. Here are 7 alternative credit scoring trends that will shape the risk assessment practices in 2026.

7 key trends in alternative credit scoring

To stay ahead in the market, lenders must stay updated on the latest alternative credit scoring trends.

Here are the main ones:

1. Increased adoption of artificial intelligence (AI)

2. Increased integration of alternative data

3. Focus on promoting financial inclusion

4. Modifications in regulations and compliance requirements

5. Decentralized scoring using blockchain

6. Partnerships between fintech, traditional financial institutions, and tech companies

7. Use of psychometric data in scoring

#1. Increased adoption of artificial intelligence (AI)

The global AI market in fintech was estimated at $10.3 billion in 2024. Experts expect it to reach $40.2 billion by 2030.

A vertical stacked bar chart shows the global AI market size in the fintech sector from 2023 to 2033, measured in USD billions. In 2023, the size is 11.8 billion dollars and increases to 14.2 billion in 2024. Projections indicate continuous growth: from 17.1 billion in 2025 to 76.2 billion in 2033.

We believe fintech companies are expected to see the following AI-driven changes in the next 6-18 months.

Ethical AI and transparency

Right now, rules limit how lenders can use AI and machine learning.

Many AI models function like a “black box”. They don’t clearly reveal how decisions are made, even as regulations increasingly demand transparency.

To meet these standards, lenders are turning to explainable AI, also known as “white box” models. They offer greater visibility into how risk decisions are made.

Stuart Tarmy, Global Director of Financial Services Industry Solutions at Aerospike, believes financial institutions need to explain the reasoning behind AI-based decisions to customers. He views such transparency as both a regulatory necessity and a competitive advantage.

Similarly, Stratyfy highlights the urgency of model interpretability in lending. They recommend striving for “a level of transparency suitable for high-stakes use cases that truly impact people’s lives, such as determining who gets a loan or a job.”

With the EU AI Act’s explainability rules taking effect by August 2026, explainable models are set to become standard next year.

Bar chart titled “Global Explainable AI Market (2024–2033)” showing growth from $6.4B in 2023 to $34.6B in 2033.

Risk for lenders: AI decisions may be non-transparent, potentially unfair, and hard to justify to regulators.

How to manage:

  • Shift toward explainable AI (XAI) or “white box” models.
  • Use explainability tools (e.g. SHAP, LIME) to interpret model outputs.
  • Establish model audit and documentation procedures to ensure traceability.
  • Form validation committees to oversee fairness and accountability.

Application of predictive modeling

This method uses smart algorithms to predict how likely someone is to repay a loan. It looks at alternative data using tools like regression and neural networks.

A 2025 study found that multilayer neural networks and logistic regression were top performers in classifying loan repayment risk. Especially as neural nets captured complex borrower patterns.

V7 Labs also notes that AI models now analyze thousands of variables and learn from past outcomes. This makes them more accurate than traditional scoring methods.

With these advancements, tools like regression and neural networks are expected to become standard in credit risk evaluation by 2026.

Risk for lenders: Models trained on biased or unbalanced data may result in discriminatory outcomes and affect fair lending laws.

How to manage:

  • Perform regular fairness audits across demographic groups.
  • Adopt bias detection tools (e.g., AI Fairness 360, What-If Tool).
  • Ensure diverse and representative datasets during training.
  • Align with internal ethical AI guidelines and regulatory expectations (e.g., GDPR, ECOA).

Real-time credit decisions

AI can process large amounts of data instantly. Machine learning models find patterns and spot unusual borrower behavior. The use of AI in credit risk allows lenders to make fast, automated lending decisions.

In the next 6-12 months, more digital lenders are expected to adopt real-time AI tools to scale quickly and cut costs.

A 2025 analysis by TurnKey Lender predicts that real-time lending powered by AI and automation will become standard by the end of the year, enabling loan approvals in minutes. GenAI tools are already helping lenders automate full workflows and boost decision accuracy.

Similarly, a March 2025 ITFA report highlights that AI enables lenders to react instantly to changes in borrower behavior and market conditions. This makes dynamic risk assessment a core feature of modern lending platforms.

Risk for lenders: Undetected anomalies, model drift, or fraud attempts may go unchallenged in a fully automated pipeline.

How to manage:

  • Use real-time monitoring systems with drift detection and anomaly alerts.
  • Introduce human-in-the-loop (HITL) checks for edge cases or flagged applications.
  • Conduct post-decision sampling and reviews to refine and retrain models.

#2. Advanced integration of alternative data

Fintech companies are starting to rely more on non-traditional data to judge if someone can repay a loan.

Infographic showing the number of people with no or limited credit score data: 3.5 billion globally, 50 million in the USA, and 4 million in the UK.

A study by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that digital footprint signals can predict loan defaults as accurately as traditional credit scores. Using both together improves accuracy even further.

Governments are also expanding legal frameworks to support this shift.

In India, starting April 2026, the Income Tax Department will have the authority to review individuals’ digital activity. This will include social media and online financial accounts to detect fraud and tax evasion.

By 2026, the lack of credit bureau data will no longer be a barrier to access. Borrowers will increasingly be assessed based on their digital footprint.

Here are examples of alternative data that can be used for this:

  • Social media activity.
  • Data from e-commerce, streaming, and delivery services.
  • Email address information (creation date, associated accounts).
  • Phone number data (operator, registered accounts, device type).
  • IP address data (geolocation, regional risk assessment).

All these alternative points form digital footprints of potential borrowers. Many credit organizations working with RiskSeal say this data will play a key role in credit scoring by 2026.

Risk for lenders: Alternative data may be inconsistent, unverified, or raise privacy concerns. If misused or poorly interpreted, it can lead to inaccurate credit decisions or privacy violations.

How to manage:

  • Implement strict data quality checks and filter out outdated or irrelevant signals.
  • Cross-check alternative signals with other indicators to avoid false positives or unfair scoring.
  • Ensure compliance with data protection regulations like GDPR or local fintech laws.
  • Work with platforms like RiskSeal, which not only provide access to verified digital signals but also help interpret them.
  • Establish clear internal guidelines to manage and monitor the ethical use of digital footprints.

#3. Focus on promoting financial inclusion

Limited financial inclusion is a serious problem. It is especially acute in developing countries.

In Nigeria, only 40 percent of people have recourse to banking services. In Mexico, the situation is even more striking. Only 37% of the working-age population there hold bank accounts.

Table showing financial inclusion and digital readiness across 16 countries, with columns for population (millions), unbanked percentage, cash and card transaction rates, ATMs per 100,000 adults, and internet penetration. Morocco, Vietnam, and Egypt lead in unbanked rates; Kenya and Romania in cash usage; internet use is highest in Kenya, lowest in Egypt.

Alternative credit scores allow lenders to find a way out and increase financial inclusion. Unlike traditional banking services, the internet is far more accessible to people.

For example, let's look at the internet penetration in Nigeria and Mexico.

According to Statista, almost 75% of Mexicans are active online, and their number will continue to increase:

Bar chart of internet users in Mexico from 2020 to 2029 shows steady growth from 77.83 million in 2020 to a projected 131.05 million in 2029.

In Nigeria, the figure is slightly lower at around 45%. However, it is still higher than the percentage of residents covered by banking services.

Bar chart of internet users in Nigeria from 2018 to 2027 shows growth from 56.31 million in 2018 to a projected 117.83 million in 2027.

A study by Harvard Business School showed that alternative data in lending models reduced rejection by 70% for borrowers typically excluded by traditional scoring. Especially for those with thin or no credit history but low default risk.

With alternative data enabling more inclusive credit assessments, we believe many fintechs will increasingly adopt these tools in 2026.

This shift will help them better serve underserved and first-time borrowers.

Risk for lenders: Expanding credit access may increase approval of high-risk or unqualified applicants.

How to manage:

  • Layer alternative data with fraud and behavior checks to add context.
  • Use real-time signals to verify the stability and intent of thin or non-traditional borrowers.
  • Set up guardrails for edge cases and first-time borrowers.

#4. Modifications in regulations and compliance requirements

Regulations on creditworthiness are changing as technology grows. This is because more personal data is being used in lending.

To protect users, lenders must follow key laws:

  • Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA)
  • Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA)
  • Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (GLBA)

What’s changing in creditworthiness rules in 2026

Regulation/law Region Entry into force Key impact on credit scoring
EU Consumer Credit Directive European Union November 2026 Harmonizing creditworthiness assessment, transparency, and consumer protection
CFPB Open Banking Rule United States April 2026 Enabling data sharing for alternative credit scoring and real-time data use
EU AI Act European Union August 2026 Regulating high-risk AI rules on credit scoring, transparency, and explainability

By 2026, new rules in the EU and the US will change how lenders assess creditworthiness. The EU’s CCD2 and AI Act will push for fairer and more transparent credit scoring.

In the US, the CFPB’s open banking rule will make it easier to use more types of data to evaluate borrowers.

Risk for lenders: Conflicting local and global rules may create legal risks or force lenders to shut down certain scoring models.

How to manage:

  • Track regulation changes across regions.
  • Run external audits to stay compliant.
  • Build a risk framework with input from legal, compliance, and AI teams.

#5. Decentralized scoring using blockchain

Decentralized scoring enables the use of blockchain technology to create a reliable credit score.

Here are some of the benefits and challenges of this approach:

Benefits of blockchain in credit risk management Challenges of blockchain in credit risk management
Better risk detection and reporting Limited scalability for large adoption
Clear, tamper-proof, and automated processes Hard to integrate with existing systems
Lower fraud and fewer errors Uncertainty in laws and regulations
Faster settlements and data checks Resistance due to lack of understanding
More efficient risk management Need for clearer guidance and cooperation
Easier compliance and stronger audit trails Requires ongoing updates and improvements
Useful insights for experts and regulators Complex to implement effectively
Builds stronger, more flexible financial systems High setup costs and resource needs

According to the research, blockchain is already moving from proof-of-concept to practical use. Including areas like supply chain finance, cross-border payments, and asset securitization.

In regions where 1.3 billion adults remain unbanked, blockchain and mobile wallets offer a pathway to financial inclusion.

These decentralized tools expand access to capital and enable participation in digital finance. Especially through microloans and crowdfunding.

That’s why RiskSeal expects more early-stage fintechs to begin testing blockchain-based credit scoring by 2026. Particularly in mobile-first markets with limited credit infrastructure.

Risk for lenders: Blockchain-based scoring may use unverified or incomplete data. Borrowers could hide negative information. It also raises privacy concerns due to public data visibility.

How to manage:

  • Verify blockchain data providers and validate data reliability.
  • Combine decentralized scores with off-chain verification where needed.
  • Set minimum disclosure standards for borrowers.
  • Use privacy-preserving tech (e.g., zero-knowledge proofs) to balance transparency and data protection.
  • Align scoring frameworks with local regulations to avoid compliance risks.

#6. Partnerships between fintech, traditional financial institutions, and tech companies

Synergy between fintechs, banks, and software development companies is already revolutionizing credit scoring. Each has a crucial part to play in this process.

Type of organization Role in credit scoring
Fintech companies Apply new methods like digital footprint analysis
Traditional financial institutions Offer access to extensive borrower data
Tech companies Process data and build predictive models

When they work together, fintechs bring new ideas, banks bring experience, and IT companies provide tech support.

According to the Insight Report by the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, 84% of fintechs are already partnering with traditional financial institutions. The findings are based on data from 240 fintech firms operating across 109 countries.

These partnerships often take the form of API integrations, collaborations with tech providers, and funding agreements. The main drivers are access to infrastructure (48%), product and service innovation (34%), and improved credibility and trust (34%).

That’s why we believe over the next 6–12 months, these partnerships will deepen. They will accelerate digital onboarding, expand product offerings, and help reach more underserved markets.

Risk for lenders: Misaligned goals or poor coordination between partners can slow progress. It can also cause credit scoring results to be inconsistent.

How to manage:

  • Define objectives from the start as part of your proof of concept checklist.
  • Establish secure data-sharing frameworks.
  • Create joint governance structures for credit model development and oversight.
  • Encourage open communication across teams and systems.

#7. Use of psychometric data in scoring

Alternative credit models are starting to include behavioral and cognitive traits. Especially in regions where formal credit history is limited or nonexistent.

Here’s how psychometric checks are used in credit risk management:

  • Borrowers complete a brief online test.
  • The test measures traits like memory, attention, and decision-making.
  • Results are compared to large datasets of previous borrowers.

Lenders use psychometric data to assess reliability, emotional stability, and financial discipline.

By comparing test results to large datasets, they can identify behavioral patterns that are hard to fake. This helps evaluate applicants with no credit history while reducing fraud risk.

A 2025 global study found strong results from psychometric testing in lending. At Juhudi Kilimo, a Kenyan lender, it increased credit acceptance rates by 5%. It also improved predictions of repayment compared to financial data alone.

We at RiskSeal think more and more fintechs will start adopting psychometric analysis by 2026. In our view, even fintechs in data-rich markets may still struggle with precision in borrower assessment. Psychometric scoring could offer a valuable layer of insight.

Risk for lenders: Scoring based on behavior may raise ethical concerns. It can also create unintended bias if not carefully designed and validated.

How to manage:

  • Use diverse reference datasets to reduce bias.
  • Ensure transparency in how scores are generated.
  • Combine psychometric results with other data for balanced decisions.
  • Monitor scoring impact across demographic groups regularly.

How RiskSeal reinvents credit risk

At RiskSeal, we bring the future of credit assessment to life, combining AI and alternative data. We enable data-driven lending practices to support lenders across emerging markets.

This image presents a digital identity profile for Aminat Gbadamosi. Her digital credit score is 712. Her email account is over 4 years old and associated with an Infinix Note 40 Pro device. The phone number has a verified reputation.

AI-powered risk assessment

Artificial intelligence is at the core of RiskSeal’s platform. It helps lenders go beyond traditional credit scores. We apply AI to uncover hidden risks and identify trustworthy applicants.

Here’s how we use AI:

  • Behavior pattern analysis. Machine learning detects suspicious digital behavior that may signal fraud.
  • Face recognition. AI compares profile photos across social media to confirm identity and detect mismatches.
  • Name matching. Algorithms flag inconsistencies across accounts that may indicate synthetic or stolen identities.
  • Anomaly detection. Subtle deviations in applicant behavior or device use are flagged early.

As a result, RiskSeal helps lenders detect up to 70% of fraud at the application stage, reducing defaults and lowering KYC costs.

Alternative data in action

RiskSeal uses a wide range of real-time, digital signals. This is especially valuable in markets where traditional data is unavailable.

We analyze:

  • Phone number and email history.
  • Device metadata and IP addresses.
  • Social media activity and account consistency.
  • Subscriptions, online purchases, and app usage.
  • Photos matching them across different resources.

These 400+ data points help lenders understand who the applicant really is beyond a credit score.

Supporting financial inclusion

In regions like Honduras, Nigeria, and Mexico, millions remain unbanked, but are active online. RiskSeal bridges this gap by making their digital footprint count.

Our technology helps lenders reach:

  • First-time borrowers without credit history.
  • Rural populations.
  • Underserved groups and informal workers.

This approach makes credit more inclusive while still managing risk responsibly.

Built for compliance from the ground up

RiskSeal is designed with regulatory compliance in mind. We ensure that innovation never comes at the cost of data privacy or fairness.

  • All data sources are consent-based and audit-ready.
  • We help clients meet global and local requirements like GDPR.
  • RiskSeal proved its commitment to top-level data security and became ISO/IEC 27001:2022 certified.

RiskSeal isn’t just following trends. We’re helping shape them, with a platform that’s fast, secure, fair, and built for emerging markets.

Final thoughts

Alternative credit scoring is becoming a standard. By adopting new technologies and data sources, fintechs can reach more people and manage risk more effectively.

Knowing these 7 trends will help lenders adapt in a highly competitive credit industry.

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FAQ

What is alternative credit scoring?

Alternative credit scoring is an approach to estimating the creditworthiness of potential borrowers based on the use of non-traditional data sources. 

Among them are a history of online payments, social network activity, mobile phone usage, etc.

What are the key trends of alternative credit scoring?

Six key trends stand out in alternative credit scoring. 

First, the use of AI is growing, improving how credit is assessed. Second, blockchain technology is being used to increase security and transparency. Third, more companies are using alternative data like utility bills and social media to evaluate credit.

There’s also a strong focus on financial inclusion, aiming to provide credit to underserved populations. Ensuring compliance with regulations is crucial, and finally, partnerships between fintechs, banks, and tech companies are becoming more common to drive innovation.

How is RiskSeal driving innovation in alternative credit scoring?

RiskSeal is an AI-based Digital Credit Scoring system that uses digital footprint analysis to evaluate borrowers. 

Our company leverages advanced technology and the vast potential of alternative data to enhance financial inclusion, reduce risk, and increase loan approvals.

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