We Analyzed 6.1 Million Loan Applications. Here’s How Digital Scoring Predicts Default 

A data-driven look at how alternative data is reshaping credit risk assessment.

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Research Based
on Real Lending Data

RiskSeal analyzed 6.1 million real loan applications from seven lenders to determine whether digital scores can reliably predict default risk.

The results show a clear pattern: as digital scores rise, default rates fall—even when applicants have limited or no traditional credit history.

6.1M

loan applications analyzed

7

lending institutions

52%→5%

decline in default rates

0.73 AUC

digital and bureau data combined

Explore The Findings
Behind The Numbers

AUC 0.73 demonstrates the predictive value of combining digital and bureau data.

The full report goes further—showing how the result was obtained, how risk changes across score bands, and how lenders can apply the findings to real credit decisions.

Understand the Methodology

See how 6.1 million applications from seven lenders were analyzed, how default was defined, and how the model was independently tested.

Explore Every Score Band

Compare applicant distribution and default rates across ten score ranges—not just one headline performance metric.

Turn Scores Into Decisions

Learn how different score bands can support fast-track approvals, additional verification, manual review, monitoring, and credit-limit decisions.

Evaluate the Findings Responsibly

Understand the study’s limitations, portfolio differences, and the recommended steps for validating digital scoring on your own lending data.

Get the complete analysis, score-band results, and implementation recommendations.

Download The Full
Research Report

Practical insights from 6.1M applications – ready to use in real risk decisions.

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